# Three Slips of Paper Puzzler - Not Monty Hall

**URL:** <https://community.cartalk.com/t/three-slips-of-paper-puzzler-not-monty-hall/61291>\
**Category:** Maintenance/Repairs\
**Created:** [February 13, 2011, 8:39pm UTC](https://community.cartalk.com/t/three-slips-of-paper-puzzler-not-monty-hall/61291 "2011-02-13T20:39:15Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![PoodleShooter](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/c68b51/32.png) [@PoodleShooter](https://community.cartalk.com/u/PoodleShooter)\
**Post date:** [February 13, 2011, 8:39pm UTC](https://community.cartalk.com/t/three-slips-of-paper-puzzler-not-monty-hall/61291/1 "2011-02-13T20:39:15Z")

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Here’s my thought:  
  
  
  
 Pick one number. Set it aside.  
  
  
  
 Pick a second number. If bigger than the first, keep it. If smaller, pick the third.  
  
  
  
 By discarding the first, you change the odds to 1/2. If the second is bigger than the first, then it’s 1/2 that the second will be bigger than the third. If the second is smaller than the first, the odds are 1/2 that the third will be bigger than the first.

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**Author:** ![PoodleShooter](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/c68b51/32.png) [@PoodleShooter](https://community.cartalk.com/u/PoodleShooter)\
**Post date:** [February 13, 2011, 8:43pm UTC](https://community.cartalk.com/t/three-slips-of-paper-puzzler-not-monty-hall/61291/2 "2011-02-13T20:43:17Z")

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Edited for clarity:

Here’s my thought:

Pick one number. Set it aside.

Pick a second number. If bigger than the first, keep it. If smaller, pick the third.

By discarding the first, you change the odds to 1/2. If the second is bigger than the first, we no longer care about the first, so the probability is 1/2 that the second will be bigger than the third. If the second is smaller than the first, we no longer care about the second, and the probability is 1/2 that the third will be bigger than the first.

Needless to say I meant to post this in the Show section. Flagged my topic to see if it would go away.
