Joseph
To my “A flat tax is regressive andpunishes those with less money.” you replied
A flat tax is regressive and punishes those with less money.
It does not “punish” People with less money are more sensitive to any price change, but a price change does not mean punishment.
Providing a base level of fuel would in effect eliminate any economic incentive to reduce consumption. In reality it would only result in a black market.
I don’t mean to lecture or talk down but I think what you said is incorrect, and what I wrote deserves more than short shrift.
“Prices” are a market outcome of the balance between marginal supply and demand for a commodity. Taxes do not fit the definition of a market commodity. A tax is not something you can forego if you don’t like the price. You must pay it. Therefore, yes, flat tax punishes those who, with less means, are compelled to pay it. These are based on economic theorems. I didn’t just make them up. Prices have a natural limit that is expressed as the price elasticity of demand. When the price gets high enough, buyers stop buying until prices go down again.
There is also a price elasticity of supply; for crude oil, for example, many countries say they cannot afford to pump for less than $76 per barrel. If they actually stop producing, supply will drop and prices will go back up, restoring a price balance at which suppliers are willing to supply and buyers are willing to buy.
Anyway: Under the plan, only excessive consumption is actually taxed at a higher rate. Every taxpayer puts some amount into the pot for a rational amount of fuel. Every taxpayer gets a right to use an equivalent amount of fuel in the form of a prepaid gas card with some number of gallons (say, based on what you actually use now) (insert complicated regional CPI-based formula and something to compensate for oversupply at the start of each year).
Government could then specifically tax cash purchases bought by those consuming an excess amount of fuel, which everyone is quite free to do. Fuel is a market commodity. So, in that way, yes, it promotes conservation based on price elasticity of demand. Some consumers will pay the higher price to buy the more expensive fuel, but some will not.
Contrary to creating a black market, it would create a completely open and honest energy credit trading market for which anyone wishing to pay something other than the official cash rate for fuel could bargain to buy fuel from someone who doesn’t plan to use all of theirs. That way, some consumers may get a better rate than the cash price at the pumps. In that way, too, it promotes conservation by those who make an economic choice between using their prepaid fuel to drive, or selling it at a profit for other uses.
It also promotes predictability because you discover what your true baseline demand is, how it shifts, where it shifts, what the marginal pricing levels are (in other words: at what price do the marginal buyers actually stop buying), how to structure future incentives and alternatives.
Energy credit swaps are in use and well proven across many industries. Those who pollute less have economic incentive to do so if they can gain marginal economic advantage by doing so. Those who want drive and pollute more pay a penalty. That, too, promotes conservation.
And what I’m saying is that Tom and Ray are proposing a draconian plan. Some level of consumption is normal and just fine. It is excessive consumption that we are trying to positively influence.